In fantasy football, you have to look back to move forward. Fantasy points are the goal, but how a player gets there is the key. Analyst Joel Smyth breaks down 10 numbers to know from Week 4 in order to win your matchup in Week 5 and beyond.
100%
Of the Jets’ RB touches went to Braelon Allen, only the second RB this season to have a game with 100% of the backfield touches (Week 2 James Cook). It may not have been a pretty game for the Jets offense, but Allen should gain some trust for fantasy managers. New York had less than 17 minutes of possession time and a league-wide, season-low 32 offensive snaps played. Of those 32 snaps, Allen saw 14 carries and two receptions, tallying 68 scrimmage yards.
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I fully expected RB Isaiah Davis to come in for a third of the work and a good amount of the receiving downs, but Frank Reich and Co. decided they wanted Allen in there for every single play to replace Breece Hall. With a game against Cleveland next week, I’d be happy to flex Allen.
75%
Of Seattle’s RB touches went to Emanuel Wilson, the first Seahawk bell cow since playoff Kenneth Walker. George Holani was no more than a third-down back with Jadarian Price out. As long as Zach Charbonnet and Price are sidelined, Wilson can be comfortably used in this dynamic offense. The most surprising usage came in the passing game, as Wilson went from one target in Weeks 1-3 to four in his first start of the season. He paid it off too, with three receptions, 39 yards and a TD.
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The 75% share was good for 25 total touches as Seattle controlled the game, something it should manage to do going forward.
68-55
The Arizona RB route split this season, favoring Tyler Allgeier. Jeremiyah Love is fun to watch and the Cardinals’ coaching staff is still keeping us asking for more. After a workhorse day in Week 3, Arizona went back to using a healthy amount of Allgeier, staying true to their “hot hand” mentality. The most surprising part of the usage, however, has been the receiving game. Love was one of the best receiving backs in the country last season at Notre Dame, yet Allgeier is being used as a passing-down back despite entering the season averaging 17 targets a year. With only 36 receiving yards on the season, the rookie becomes far more volatile than we’d want.
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At the same time, if you trade for him and he does start getting a bump in his receiving usage, he could be a game-changer even with carries and red-zone work being split.
4.2
Average depth of target in Jalon Daniels’ first career start. It may be a tough stretch here for Emeka Egbuka. On 36 dropbacks, Daniels had 148 pass yards, most coming off of the quick-passing attack. With Egbuka being more reliant on the downfield targets, he ended his day with only two catches for 13 yards on four targets. He wasn’t playing that great with Baker Mayfield to begin with, but I would not put Egbuka in my starting lineup for the time being with Mayfield sidelined.
27-13
The carry split in Philadelphia after two games with Saquon Barkley exiting early. Tank Bigsby at 27 (14 and 13) and Will Shipley at 13 (6 and 7). It’s been nearly identical in both games and gives us a clear picture of their potential going forward. Bigsby is the RB you want on waivers. He’s not going to get the receiving role, but if we’re real, Hurts isn’t going to throw much to the RB anyway. Bigsby should have the goal-line role (so far, 1-of-1 attempt) and can be a solid flex play in most leagues. Shipley will likely keep him from being a fantasy star, but both are worth a pickup if Barkley is out.
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79%
Josh Downs route share this season. He’ll be okay. Annoying, yes, but I’m not panicking about Downs’ Week 4 dud too much going forward. The Commanders’ secondary that has been torched this season didn’t allow Daniel Jones to push the ball downfield to Downs at all, amassing one singular air yard after 154 in Week 3. That’ll be the key for Downs, who will always have the short targets available, but starts to rake in fantasy points when targeted downfield on top of it. The international games also tend to provide a few questionable performances, if it helps to cope a little bit easier.
3
Red-zone targets for Romeo Doubs. The Patriots’ new WR rose to the occasion, capitalizing on Drake Maye’s bounce-back performance versus a Bills defense. It’s been a slow start to the season, but there’s plenty of hope with both A.J. Brown and Mack Hollins sidelined. Did you know there are only seven more WRs with more red-zone touchdowns since 2023 than Doubs?
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He’s always been a threat in the red area, pulling in another one TD on Sunday on a goal-line fade. If New England builds this offense back up, Doubs can be the main benefactor in the red zone.
A reminder: Maye had only one passing touchdown in the first three games. Doubs now has two of Maye’s four on the season, as he now becomes the clear WR1 of this offense until Brown returns.
12.5%
Targets per route for Dalton Kincaid over the last two weeks. Unlike in the past, his route share hasn’t been the issue. Joe Brady spoke to the postgame press after Week 4, openly saying they need to get Kincaid more targets. His targets per route in 2025 finished at 24.3%, just 0.4% from the highest TE mark, while playing through injuries. After starting the year at 29.2%, I’m not overly worried about the last two weeks. Unlike other TEs, Kincaid runs most of his routes lined up as a pure WR, and isn’t immune to down games in a low-passing-volume offense.
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Josh Allen also just has one passing touchdown in the last two games, affecting the passing game as a whole.
77%
Kyren Williams’ percentage of the Rams’ RB touches over the last two weeks. One last RB touch stat. Over the first two weeks, that share was 49%, very similar to the second half of the 2025 season. It’s not just that Williams takes all of the receiving, but he has 31 of the 41 carries these last two weeks, making Blake Corum an afterthought, and Williams a force on one of the league’s top offenses. Only eight RBs have that high of volume to begin this season.
Another factor that’s boosted his stock is the passing-game usage. The Rams, year after year, have been near the bottom in RB target share, but after another strong receiving performance, Williams’ targets per game have doubled since last season, although most of that has been the last two weeks. Last year, he only had one game over three receptions, and he’s done that and more in back-to-back weeks.
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54
Routes for Dohnte Meyers, the most of any player in Week 4. If you’re asking, “Who?” Meyers is the Bengals’ rookie WR who came out of nowhere and shined among all the Bengals’ WR injuries. Meyers began the season as the WR4, and may begin Week 5 as the WR1.
He’s a shifty, YAC receiver who brought in seven of nine targets for 82 yards this week. The Bengals are going to throw no matter who’s out there and Meyers has proved he can make plays with the ball in his hands. If Tee Higgins or Ja’Marr Chase are out (potentially both could miss Week 5), Meyers can be a fun fill-in play versus the Dolphins.
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