Welcome to the first edition of theScore’s MLB Power Rankings for the 2023 season. Projected records, division odds, World Series odds provided by theScore bet.
1. Houston Astros
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
95-67
-190
+600
Change was afoot after the Astros claimed another World Series title in 2022. Reigning AL Cy Young winner Justin Verlander moved on in free agency, as did franchise mainstay Yuli Gurriel and general manager James Click. Former MVP Jose Abreu is an obvious upgrade over the declining Gurriel at first base. Verlander will be missed, although there’s enough talent in the young rotation fronted by Framber Valdez and Cristian Javier to pick up the slack. In the short term, Jose Altuve’s bat will be sorely missed. The Astros won’t romp to another AL West title, but it won’t be easy to knock the reigning champions off their perch.
2. Atlanta Braves
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
95-67
+105
+900
The Braves might be the most complete team in baseball. The lineup, which now features a healthy Ronald Acuna Jr. and Ozzie Albies, has a great combination of speed, power, and youth. Atlanta has at least six players capable of hitting 30-plus homers. Acuna, Albies, and Michael Harris II are all threats to steal at least 25-30 bases. A rotation led by Max Fried, Spencer Strider, and Kyle Wright can compete with anyone in the NL. Mike Soroka’s long-awaited return could push this group to another level. The bullpen is solid and will get better when Raisel Iglesias is healthy. The pieces are there to win a second championship in three years.
3. San Diego Padres
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
92-70
+120
+800
The Padres enter the season with sky-high expectations after a whirlwind offseason, during which they handed out a number of lucrative, long-term contracts. With the Dodgers arguably taking a step back, the path to a division title is open for San Diego. The prospect of lining up Juan Soto, Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis, and Xander Bogaerts in some order in the lineup will strike fear into all opposition. Padres owner Peter Seidler should be commended for how aggressive he’s been in trying to give fans in San Diego an exciting roster to cheer for.
4. New York Mets
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
93-69
+175
+900
The Mets were the talk of the offseason as Steve Cohen dished out a ton of money. However, it’s hard to say if they really improved from the club that was surprisingly bounced out of the wild-card round last year. The lineup is very solid but lacks power outside of Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor. A rotation led by Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander is as intimidating as any in baseball, but New York will be leaning heavily on a 38 and 40-year-old. Carlos Carrasco is also 36. Edwin Diaz’s injury has left the team with a massive hole in the bullpen – one that will be filled by David Robertson, 38, and Adam Ottavino, 37, to begin the season.
5. Los Angeles Dodgers
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
95-67
-115
+800
The Dodgers have won nine of the last 10 NL West titles, but their long-running streak of success could be in jeopardy after a dull offseason. L.A. let 15 notable players depart in free agency, including Trea Turner and clubhouse leader Justin Turner, and don’t look as formidable on paper as the Padres. Los Angeles should still be good, but the 2022 juggernaut that won 111 games is no more.
6. New York Yankees
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
95-67
+120
+800
Just who are these Yankees? Aaron Judge, the new captain, is back and ready to do his thing. Ditto for strikeout king Gerrit Cole, steady first baseman Anthony Rizzo, and last year’s breakout star Nestor Cortes Jr. But the injury bug, long a storyline in the Bronx, has already reared its head. Carlos Rodon, the team’s other marquee signing, is starting his Yankees tenure on the IL alongside Luis Severino, Frankie Montas, and several others. Then there are questions about the healthy players. Can Aaron Hicks and Josh Donaldson rediscover their old selves? Will Anthony Volpe live up to the hype? Can the bullpen stay healthy? This is a very good team on paper, but it might be hard to predict which version of the Yankees shows up on a given day.
7. Toronto Blue Jays
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
91-71
+200
+1000
The Blue Jays enter 2023 a different club from the one that blew an 8-1 lead en route to getting swept by the Mariners in the wild-card series. General manager Ross Atkins shook up the roster and clubhouse by shipping out stalwarts Teoscar Hernandez and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Toronto appeared to prioritize more balance and veteran leadership, acquiring left-handers Brandon Belt and Kevin Kiermaier as well as swinging a trade for the athletic Daulton Varsho. This remains one of the most talented rosters in baseball. However, the time to win is now, and the veteran additions should ratchet up the pressure on the young core of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, and Alek Manoah to finally break through in October.
8. Seattle Mariners
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
88-74
+325
+1800
If any team is going to push Houston for top spot in the AL West, it’s the Mariners. Seattle’s pitching staff is deep and talented – former Cy Young winner Robbie Ray is the No. 3 starter – and young superstar Julio Rodriguez anchors a lineup that’s improved with the addition of slugger Teoscar Hernandez. The Mariners are certainly one of the best teams in the AL.
9. Philadelphia Phillies
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
88-74
+400
+1600
The acquisitions of Trea Turner, Taijuan Walker, Craig Kimbrel, and Gregory Soto caused a lot of excitement in Philadelphia after last season’s run to the World Series. However, injuries to Bryce Harper and Rhys Hoskins will really test the team’s mettle in a very competitive division. Turner, Kyle Schwarber, and J.T. Realmuto will need to produce as expected to keep the club afloat until Harper comes back. A return to form for Nick Castellanos would also really help. The 2021 All-Star went deep just 13 times with a .694 OPS in 2022 after a career-high 34 round-trippers and a .939 OPS two years ago.
10. St. Louis Cardinals
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
88-74
-125
+2000
The Cardinals enter 2023 as the NL Central favorites, and there are plenty of reasons why. Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado return after enjoying stellar campaigns, Willson Contreras enters as Yadier Molina’s replacement, and the lineup is solid 1-through-9 thanks to exciting young talent like Jordan Walker, Lars Nootbaar, and Brendan Donovan. St. Louis is built to win, and the other teams in the division likely won’t pose much of a threat.
11. Tampa Bay Rays
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
88-74
+300
+2000
Even with the balanced schedule, the Rays face an uphill battle to get out of the AL East in 2023. Still, they are easily the third-best team in the tough division thanks to a great pitching staff headlined by Shane McClanahan. Tyler Glasnow will improve the rotation when he returns, and as usual, their bullpen is filled with powerful shutdown arms. If the offense, led by the healthy infield duo of Wander Franco and Brandon Lowe, can pull its weight, the Rays should be back in the thick of the wild-card race. This team remains dangerous, but if the offense isn’t clicking again, it could be a long summer.
12. Cleveland Guardians
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
86-76
+120
+2500
The Guardians are on everyone’s radar after coming out of nowhere to win the AL Central last season. The lineup is sneaky good with plenty of balance, speed, and surprising power. Andres Gimenez, who was reportedly rewarded for his monster breakout campaign with a seven-year extension, Steven Kwan, Josh Naylor, and Oscar Gonzalez will all need to prove 2022 wasn’t a mirage. The bullpen might be the AL’s best thanks to Emmanuel Clase, James Karinchak, and Trevor Stephan. However, there’s a hole in the rotation with Triston McKenzie potentially sidelined for up to two months with a shoulder injury.
13. Milwaukee Brewers
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
85-77
+175
+3500
After a troubling late-season slide, the Brewers enter 2023 in a strange place. The club saw longtime executive David Stearns step down, clearing the way for Matt Arnold to become general manager. The Brewers still possess a tremendous amount of talent on both sides of the ball but could emerge as one of this season’s most intriguing players at the trade deadline if they underachieve again. The club and ace Corbin Burnes endured a tense arbitration process this winter, leaving his long-term future in Milwaukee in question. Fans in Milwaukee will certainly hope the club performs on the field to quiet any trade noise surrounding the 2021 Cy Young winner.
14. Los Angeles Angels
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
82-80
+700
+5000
This has to be the year the Angels finally make the playoffs with Shohei Ohtani and Mike Trout, right? Well, it needs to be. Ohtani is primed to hit the open market after the 2023 campaign in what will likely be the biggest free-agent hoopla in MLB history. Los Angeles’ front office added veterans Tyler Anderson, Brandon Drury, Hunter Renfroe, and Gio Urshela to provide more depth. However, the biggest X-factor will be Anthony Rendon and his health. The star third baseman has only played 157 games since signing a seven-year, $245-million contract in December 2019.
15. Minnesota Twins
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
83-79
+200
+5000
The Twins are a tough team to figure out. They’ve finished first, fifth, and third in the past three seasons. They’re extremely talented on paper but also rely heavily on oft-injured superstar Byron Buxton, and the rotation lacks a true ace. They have a wild card in Joey Gallo, who could return to his old glory now that the pressures of playing in New York and Los Angeles are behind him.
16. Chicago White Sox
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
82-80
+275
+3500
The talented but flawed White Sox are lucky to play in the AL Central, where they have an easier road to the postseason. Having two Cy Young-caliber starters atop the rotation in Dylan Cease and Lance Lynn helps their cause tremendously. But the lineup remains tough to get a read on. Jose Abreu’s departure puts more pressure on the likes of Eloy Jimenez, Andrew Vaughn, and Yoan Moncada. The bullpen, and specifically who will close, is also a major question mark without Liam Hendriks anchoring the unit. If it all clicks, the White Sox could be in the thick of the division race. If not, things on the South Side could get ugly really fast.
17. Texas Rangers
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
81-81
+1000
+4000
For the second straight offseason, the Rangers shelled out big bucks in an attempt to address areas of weakness. General manager Chris Young overhauled a rotation that sorely needed an infusion of talent. Jacob deGrom, Andrew Heaney, and Nathan Eovaldi are all quality arms but carry a ton of injury risk. DeGrom’s five-year, $185-million contract is one of the game’s greatest risk/reward deals. The two-time Cy Young winner staying on the field in 2023 could go a long way in helping Texas attain its first winning season since 2016.
18. Boston Red Sox
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
78-84
+1800
+6000
It’s the dawn of a new era in Boston – but don’t call it a rebuild. The new-look Red Sox rejigged their roster with veterans such as Justin Turner and Corey Kluber and could have two Rookie of the Year candidates in star Japanese import Masataka Yoshida and homegrown first baseman Triston Casas. At the minimum, the Red Sox are talented enough to compete for a wild-card spot, but it’s far from a given that they’ll make it. There are still plenty of question marks, and Xander Bogaerts will undoubtedly be missed up the middle.
19. San Francisco Giants
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
81-81
+1000
+5000
The Giants did some good things in the offseason, but many will remember how the club whiffed on Aaron Judge and Carlos Correa. San Francisco needed to inject some star power, which the likes of Michael Conforto, Mitch Haniger, Sean Manaea, Taylor Rogers, and Ross Stripling don’t provide despite being quality players. The club appears destined for another third-place finish in the division as the heavyweight Dodgers and Padres duke it out at the top. The upstart Diamondbacks could also be an issue soon if the Giants don’t start improving.
20. Baltimore Orioles
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
76-86
+2500
+7500
The Orioles made some noise last season, but with success comes heightened expectations – within the club, at least. Full campaigns for Adley Rutschman, Kyle Stowers, and Gunnar Henderson should provide Baltimore with a decent chance of exceeding its 83-win total from last season, but projection systems don’t think it’s possible. PECOTA, FanGraphs, and theScore Bet have the O’s winning between 74-78 games.
21. Chicago Cubs
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
77-85
+700
+7500
It’s a whole new look for the Cubs, who once again tried to expedite their rebuild, this time by signing Dansby Swanson and Jameson Taillon, among others. They also took a flier on Cody Bellinger potentially rediscovering his MVP form. But even with those improvements and the cushion of playing in the NL Central, it doesn’t feel like they’re quite ready to take that next step. Willson Contreras’ bat will be missed no matter how good of a signal-caller Tucker Barnhart is behind the plate, and who knows what Eric Hosmer has left. While there are some good pieces here, the Cubs will probably need plenty of breaks to stay in the playoff picture.
22. Arizona Diamondbacks
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
75-87
+4000
+10000
There’s a lot to look forward to in Arizona. Top catching prospect Gabriel Moreno will get plenty of playing time to start the season with Carson Kelly injured, while speedy outfielder Corbin Carroll is the favorite to win NL Rookie of the Year. Zac Gallen also looks like a Cy Young threat after a torrid second half led to a fifth-place finish in voting. Jordan Lawlar and Druw Jones likely won’t be making an impact at the major-league level in 2023, but Arizona is set to unleash a wave of young and elite talent in the years to come that could create the foundations of a perennial contender.
23. Miami Marlins
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
76-86
+3000
+7500
The Marlins enter 2023 in a similar fashion to this time last year. Miami boasts one of baseball’s brightest young rotations but could struggle to score runs. Miami hitters ranked 24th in home runs and 28th in runs scored last season. General manager Kim Ng added proven commodities in Luis Arraez and Jean Segura to try and bolster the lineup. A full season from Jazz Chisholm Jr. would be a huge boost. The talented second baseman hit 14 home runs and stole 12 bases across just 60 games in 2022 as a back injury derailed his season. The Marlins have the unenviable task of navigating life in a division with the Braves, Mets, and Phillies, but for the first time in a while, there appears to be some positive momentum in Miami.
24. Colorado Rockies
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
64-98
+15000
+15000
The Rockies have a 40-man payroll close to $200 million and are nowhere near contention. Colorado was able to add some veteran talent late in the offseason with Jurickson Profar and Mike Moustakas. However, there are just too many glaring holes in the lineup, rotation, and bullpen. The defense also got worse with Gold Glover Brendan Rodgers sidelined. Not even a healthy Kris Bryant could help get this team out of the NL West basement.
25. Pittsburgh Pirates
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
67-95
+5000
+15000
This year’s version of the Pirates might be the best in years but could also be fool’s gold. Pittsburgh brought in a number of veterans like Andrew McCutchen, Rich Hill, Ji-Man Choi, and Carlos Santana to support its youth, but how much of a difference will these past-their-prime players make? Oneil Cruz is extremely exciting, but this club still looks like a bottom-feeder in the NL Central.
26. Kansas City Royals
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
69-93
+3000
+10000
Bobby Witt Jr. enters his second big-league season with the goal of taking the next step toward stardom. A slew of homegrown youngsters, including Vinnie Pasquantino and Kyle Isbel, will join him on this rebuilding squad, which will battle the Tigers for fourth place. Witt might be a potential franchise cornerstone, but not even his marked improvement can lift this group to new heights in 2023. The rebuild is in full swing, and the growing pains will again be felt all summer.
27. Detroit Tigers
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
69-93
+3000
+10000
The sting of another rebuilding season in Detroit will be soothed as the Tigers say goodbye to franchise icon Miguel Cabrera, whose farewell tour and the memories of his Triple Crown-winning prime will be the feature story at Comerica Park. Maybe that will ease the pressure on some of the Tigers’ youngsters like former No. 1 pick Spencer Torkelson, allowing them to quietly focus on finally reaching their potential while Miggy gets the spotlight one more time. For the sake of the franchise, the Tigers should hope that happens.
28. Cincinnati Reds
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
65-97
+6000
+25000
It’s shaping up to be another long summer in Cincinnati. The Reds didn’t do much in the offseason, adding a handful of veterans, most notably Wil Myers. If there’s one thing fans should be excited about, it’s the trio of young arms atop the rotation. Nick Lodolo, Hunter Greene, and Graham Ashcraft showed flashes in 2022 and are entering the campaign with high hopes. Spencer Steer is another intriguing young player to monitor. Steer was acquired last year in the trade for Tyler Mahle and is entering the season as the club’s everyday third baseman.
29. Washington Nationals
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
59-103
+20000
+50000
A lot more growing pains are expected for the Nationals this year after losing 107 games in 2022. At least there’s a young core in place that can mature together. Keibert Ruiz, fresh off an eight-year extension, CJ Abrams, Josiah Grey, and MacKenzie Gore have all flashed potential to be impact players at the major-league level. They will get plenty of playing time and freedom to learn in Washington.
30. Oakland Athletics
PROJECTED RECORD
DIVISION ODDS
WS ODDS
60-102
+20000
+50000
The Athletics’ direction is pretty clear. This is a full-on rebuild. Expectations are low in the Bay Area, but there are some exciting players to keep an eye on like Esteury Ruiz and Japanese import Shintaro Fujinami. Sixty wins might be a stretch for this team, though.
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